After the first three games, the Cougs have pretty much stayed true to form, winning the games they were expected to win and losing the game they were expected to lose. Though 3 games is a very small sample, I decided to take a look at what has gone well and what has gone poorly… [Read more…]
There’s a pretty good chance there won’t be any NBA basketball this year, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be basketball. So rather than preview the NBA season, I’m gonna preview my other love interest, college basketball. Since it would take too long to gather and interpret numbers for 300+ teams, I’m gonna stick to… [Read more…]
Well, maybe not ever…but at least since the 1977-78 season. The Seattle Charity Game, which was held in celebration of Seattle basketball, inspired me to do a post about my all time favorite basketball team, the Seattle SuperSonics. And since everyone has their own opinions about who the greatest Sonics were and who the most… [Read more…]
For the past week, Andres Alvarez and I have been working on evaluating the 2011 free agent class based on the numbers. You can find these posts here, here, and here. This post is an effort to consolidate the information from those three posts and offer a comprehensive free agent guide for the 2011 offseason.… [Read more…]
Note: Wins Produced has now been officially adjusted to take diminishing returns for defensive rebounds into account. I promised a follow through on my previous post about the rebound adjusted numbers, so here it is. The following is a brief explanation of where these numbers come from: First, I calculated Wins Produced for every player… [Read more…]
Using the power of hindsight, this post takes a look at the worst choices teams made with the #1 pick in the NBA draft. Over the last 30 years, there have been a lot of busts at #1. After all, there isn’t a player named LeBron in every draft. Some of the busts have been… [Read more…]
Note: Wins Produced has now been officially adjusted to take diminishing returns for defensive rebounds into account. The topic of the week seems to be rebounding, and in particular whether or not Wins Produced overrates them. In fact, that seems to be the primary criticism of the metric. Skeptics suggest that a player should not… [Read more…]
The NBA Draft is coming up, and experts are projecting it to be a big year for drafting foreign players. In fact, 4-5 foreign players are projected to go in the lottery. But, doesn’t it seem like foreigners are usually flops? Think Darko Milicic or Andrea Bargnani. On the other hand, players like Pau Gasol… [Read more…]
With Dirk, Kidd, and LeBron all going to the finals, the question begs: who is the best active player to never win an NBA title? Of course, “best” is hard to define. So, why don’t we look at it like this: which active players that haven’t won a title have had the most productive careers;… [Read more…]
The following table shows the position adjusted win scores per 40 minutes (PAWS40) for the top 100 prospects for the 2011 NBA Draft (as ranked by Draft Express). Win Score is a relatively simple player evaluation metric created by Dave Berri. Win Score is calculated by the following equation: PTS + REB + STL +… [Read more…]
November 21, 2011
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